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The Tactical Timing System has generated a sell signal. To comply with the system the following positions were sold today. The proceeds were allocated equally between the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCSH) and the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT).
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The performance of the Stock Market Advantage (SMA) Portfolio was particularly fortuitous in 2011 as the investment returns trumped the indexes and the vast majority of professional money managers.
This sort of outperformance is probably achievable only once every 10 years. It can largely by attributed to luck with a small dose of experience/skill, and the unusual efficacy of the Tactical Timing System.
The successful timing signals added about four percentage points to the return. There were four timing signals generated in the past year as shown below:
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The Tactical Timing System has generated a sell signal. To comply with the system the following positions were sold. The proceeds from the sales were reinvested in the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCSH) and the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT).
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The Tactical Timing System has generated a buy signal. To comply with the system the following positions were purchased and funded with the sale of a portion of the Vanguard Short Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCSH).
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The Tactical Timing System has generated a buy signal. To comply with the system the following Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) were purchased and funded with the sale of a portion of the Vanguard Short Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCSH).
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Burton Malkiel Defends the Efficient Market Hypothesis
by Barron Maestro on April 13, 2012
Liesman brought up criticism of the idea of the efficient market because the perception during the financial crisis of 2008 was that markets didn’t work. This implied Malkiel was wrong and markets were not efficient. Malkiel responded, “what efficient markets means is that information gets reflected quickly and you get a tableau of prices that’s very hard to beat.”
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