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All posts tagged "cyclical peak"

The Business Cycle and Sector Rotation
Studies of stock market history have shown a strong tendency for the market to follow a four year pattern of expansion and contraction. This phenomenon has been linked to a strong correlation with the presidential election cycle. Typically about two thirds of the...
- Posted April 18, 2011
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ViacomCBS Sold
On February 17, 2021, the entire position of ViacomCBS (VIAC)...
- Posted February 19, 2021
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iShares Global REIT ETF Sold
Investor euphoria/greed has been elevated with the extension of the...
- Posted January 20, 2021
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iShares Silver Mining ETF Increased
With interest rates creeping up and the US Dollar Index...
- Posted January 12, 2021
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iShares Silver Miners ETF Added
The iShares MSCI Global Silver Miners ETF (SLVP) was added...
- Posted December 21, 2020
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Molson Coors Added
Investors continue to pile into high-flying technology shares and various...
- Posted October 1, 2020
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Global Gold Miners ETF Allocation Increased
Cash available was added to the SMA Portfolio's holding in...
- Posted August 10, 2020
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Dorian LPG Sold
As part of a change in strategy to gradually shift...
- Posted August 10, 2020
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ViacomCBS Sold
On February 17, 2021, the entire position of ViacomCBS...
- February 19, 2021
- 0
iShares Global REIT ETF Sold
Investor euphoria/greed has been elevated with the extension of...
- January 20, 2021
- 0
iShares Silver Mining ETF Increased
With interest rates creeping up and the US Dollar...
- January 12, 2021
- 0

Is the Retirement Crisis Really a Crisis?
PBS Frontline recently presented a documentary called “The Retirement...
- April 25, 2013
- 12
Alarming Chart of the Stock Markets of 1987 and 2012-2013
Several days ago I posted a chart showing the...
- May 22, 2013
- 8
Bill Ackman Thinks Diversification is for the Lazy
Bill Ackman made a speech at the Active/Passive Investor...
- March 4, 2010
- 7

Based on a scale of 1 (major complacency) to 10 (extreme fear): Current and Selected Past Readings:

Date	Index	SMA Comment
1/20/2021	2.3	Massive stimulus and Fed support have nearly eliminated fear
3/23/2020	7.0	Coronavirus and oil price war panic investors to the highest level of fear since October 2011
12/26/2019	2.3	Lowest level of fear in nearly two years (January 2018)
12/21/2018	6.7	Raised fears likely setting up a buying opportunity
1/11/2018	1.8	Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations
1/13/16	6.3	Terrible start to 2016 raised fears
10/3/11	8.5	A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense
3/9/09	7.0	Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh
10/27/08	8.8	Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers
10/12/07	3.2	Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble pricked