alan greenspan

Alan Greenspan - Federal ReserveBloomberg’s Tom Keene interviewed former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan at length yesterday. Greenspan commented on a wide range of topics beginning with a discussion of the political process. Greenspan’s main point was compromise is implicit in a democratic society.

Greenspan spoke further about the “fiscal cliff” America faces referring to it as huge. He said the problem is no one wants to inflict pain on anyone under any circumstances (something he has personal experience with).

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Alan Greenspan: Stock Market Bottom Will Take Awhile

by Barron Maestro on August 8, 2011

Alan Greenspan was on Meet the Press today and said he believed the reaction to the U. S. credit downgrade would weigh on the markets.  He stated the effect will be “profound.”

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In The Wall Street Journal’s The Big Interview with Kelly Evans, Alan Greenspan talks at length about his view on the economy and stock market.  He also says he wouldn’t have done anything different given what he knows now.

SMA Comment:  I’m reading Matt Taibbi’s “Griftopia,” specifically the chapter entitled “The Biggest Asshole in the Universe.”  Evan’s excellent interview does nothing to dispel Taibbi’s assessment of  “The Maestro.”  Kelly Evans is supposedly only 23 years old and was the most impressive thing in this interview, although we can only hope we have the same lucidity of Greenspan when we’re 84.
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"Griftopia" Looks Like a Must Read

by Barron Maestro on November 4, 2010

Matt Taibbi, writer for Rolling Stone, has just published a new book I plan on reading in the near future. I highly enjoyed Taibbi’s long article in Rolling Stone magazine chronicling Goldman Sachs’ incredible influence about a year ago.

The intitial reviews of Griftopia: Bubble Machines, Vampire Squids, and the Long Con That Is Breaking America at Amazon.com have been extremely favorable and it sounds like Taibbi expands on his original skewering of Goldman Sachs.

Below are several excerpts from Robert Steele, a top 50 reviewer at Amazon:

This is an extraordinary book, combining gifted insights and turns of phrase with serious research that has a point worth fighting for: Wall Street led by Goldman Sachs has ripped off the entire US economy, and they still have most people thinking that politics matters.

The author is especially deft at observing, documenting, and describing the combination of lunatic ignorance and blessed righteous anger within the Tea Party, at the same time that he points out they have no idea that they have been funded and directed by the very people who have stolen their economy out from under them.

QUOTE (53): That’s why Alan Greenspan is the key to understanding this generation’s financial disaster. He repeatedly used the financial might of the state to jet-fuel the insanely regressive pyramid scheme of the bubble economy [led by Goldman Sachs], which like actual casioons proved to be a highly efficient method for converting the scattered savings of legions of individual schmuck-citizens into the concentrated holdings of a few private individuals.

I am educated by this book in that while I have understood for some time the role played by Senator Phil Gramm (R-TX) and his 99 sleazy Senatorial colleagues all too eager to approve 200 pages of deregulation legislation written by lobbyists and
inserted five minutes before the vote, I was not aware of the Greenspan-Rubin actions that set the stage to undermine, sidestep, and eventually dismiss the
Glass-Steagall Act that kept insurance, investment, and banking houses from merging.

A long chapter, the chapter on Greenspan is devastating, and concludes that Greenspan was in fact a master criminal, that the Greenspan era was not an era of economics run amok, but rather of organized crime running precisely as planned–

The middle part of the book is a tremendously detailed and well-told tale of how Goldman Sachs and a handful of other companies are nothing more than a criminal network that sucks as much credit from a range of targets as possible, and then burns them to the ground to collect the insurance (or “bailout” in today’s parlance). In two chapters, one on the mortgage scams including outright fraud at every step of the way by Moody’s and others, the other on the commodities bubble that led to rising gasoline prices and food security issues and food riots world-wide, all for the financial benefit of a small group in New York, the middle of the book assures this book’s place in the reference shelves of anyone hoping to excel in leveraged businesses in the future. A third chapter describes in detail about how foreign wealth funds are being encouraged to buy up US infrastructure including toll roads and parking meters, while the US brokers cheat the US sellers by underpricing everything. This is truly a tale of infamy and treason across the board.

The final chapter is a fuller version of the original Rolling Stone article that created a firestorm and destroyed “The Narrative” about Goldman making money on brilliance instead of crime. The author is blunt: Goldman Sachs is a “pump and dump” criminal operation, and the author notes with sadness that organized crime will always overcome disorganized democracy, at least as things now stand with asymmetric information and data pathologies (the latter my special interest). I had to read this chapter twice, and while the entire book is superb, this is the chapter I would scan, pdf, and translate into at least 33 languages and all twelve dialects of Arabic.

Source: Griftopia: Bubble Machines, Vampire Squids, and the Long Con That Is Breaking America
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Jeremy Grantham Skewers the Fed….Again

by Barron Maestro on October 27, 2010

Jeremy Grantham has released his latest quarterly commentary and it’s excellent as usual. He spends much of it in a diatribe against the deserving pair of rogues Greenspan and Bernanke.

Unfortunately for us, as the economy recovers and the artificially stimulated market gets up a nice head of steam, the Greenspan-Bernanke team officially loses interest, emphatically and repeatedly denying any interest in, or responsibility for, curtailing their latest experiment in market manipulation. And manipulation is exactly what it is. They express uncertainty that a bubble could even exist. Who am I, argued Greenspan, to disagree with the opinions “of tens of thousands of well informed investors?” They both imply or state outright that markets are overwhelmingly efficient, yet they themselves manipulate the prices to help in the recovery from a recession! How are we to interpret these contradictions? As distortions of their true beliefs, or as sloppy thinking revealed? Whichever it is, we have discovered twice in a decade, and may discover again in a year or two, that this asymmetric policy of stimulating stock moves by setting artificially low rates and then leaving the bull markets, when overstimulated, to bubble over, is dangerous. It is probably the most dangerous thing to inflict on a peacetime economy with two possible exceptions – runaway inflation and a housing bubble. So, not only have these two Fed bosses been almost criminally inept in ignoring stock bubbles, they have also deliberately instigated them as a policy tool! Since we continue to be at Bernanke’s mercy and Greenspan’s spirit is still alive and well, could things be much worse?

Grantham answers that question with a yes. It is a typically long letter, but worth reading in its entirety. For those who don’t like reading there are several excellent charts and graphs included. Just click on the source link “GMO” directly below.

Source: GMO
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Jeremy Warner at Telegraph.co.uk cautions that Alan Greenspan appears to have taken to heart the old adage that “if you can’t forecast well, forecast often”.

Now he [Greenspan] says we are in a pause in a modest recovery, “but a pause in a modest recovery feels like a quasi-recession”. I shouldn’t mock, for my own forecasting record is if anything even worse, but in March 2007, Mr Greenspan said there was only a one third chance of a recession, only to raise this to a greater than 50pc chance in May 2008.

Starting to get it right, then? Unfortunately he then spoilt this rare insight into the blindingly obvious by saying that prospects of a severe recession had receded markedly. As we know, the worst recession since the Great Depression followed soon afterwards.

Source: Telegraph.co.uk
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Paul Volcker and the New Financial Reform

July 12, 2010

The N. Y. Times features a lengthy article by Louis Uchitelle regarding the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act in 1999 which was backed by the Clinton administration and Alan Greenspan, and the recent championing of financial reform by Paul Volcker, which has been subsequently watered down. Some excerpts: Mr. Volcker says that most of the [...]

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Alan Greenspan Continues to Deflect Blame

July 9, 2010

The king mess-maker, Alan Greenspan, was interviewed at length on CNBC yesterday. He said we just experienced the greatest global financial crisis ever. He blamed it on inadequate bank capital and a lack of fraud prosecutions. Greenspan is quite lucid for a man of his age and the interview is an interesting discussion, but he [...]

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Alan Greenspan Led Us to Slaughter

May 8, 2010

Roger Lowenstein writes about the arrogance of Alan Greenspan, who was monumentally ignorant of the bubble in housing and kept interest rates too low for too long. In a newly released transcript of a Federal Reserve Board meeting in March 2004, former Chairman Alan Greenspan argues against disclosing too much to the public lest the [...]

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Michael Burry Exposes the Incompetence of Alan Greenspan

April 5, 2010

It is at the same time laughable and galling that Alan Greenspan insists that no one saw the housing market as a bubble in 2004-2007. One who did, Michael Burry, comments on how he, along with many others, saw what should have been obvious to the powers that were. As a nation, we cannot afford [...]

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