Prediction Results: Joe Battipaglia, James Grant, Gary B. Smith, Elaine Garzarelli and Pat Dorsey
Again, the futility of listening to pundits is highlighted in a round of prediction results from late 2007.
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Joe Battipaglia and James Grant broke the mold as they were largely right about what was to come (stock picks be damned). However, Gary B. Smith, Elaine Garzarelli and Pat Dorsey were up to form as they were 180 degrees wrong.
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T.T.S. Fear Index
Date | Index | SMA Comment |
1/20/2021 | 2.3 | Massive stimulus and Fed support have nearly eliminated fear |
3/23/2020 | 7.0 | Coronavirus and oil price war panic investors to the highest level of fear since October 2011 |
12/26/2019 | 2.3 | Lowest level of fear in nearly two years (January 2018) |
12/21/2018 | 6.7 | Raised fears likely setting up a buying opportunity |
1/11/2018 | 1.8 | Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations |
1/13/16 | 6.3 | Terrible start to 2016 raised fears |
10/3/11 | 8.5 | A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense |
3/9/09 | 7.0 | Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh |
10/27/08 | 8.8 | Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers |
10/12/07 | 3.2 | Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble pricked |
Year-to-Date Performance as of February 24, 2021
Index/Portfolio | YTD % |
SMA Portfolio | 18.7% |
S&P 500 | 4.8% |
U. S. Small Caps | 12.2% |
Total U. S. Stock Market | 6.0% |
Total Int'l Stock Market | 6.0% |
Total U. S. Bond Market | -2.4% |
LOU
March 22, 2009 at 3:50 pm
I THINK YOU SHOULD HAVE MORE UP TODATE PREDICTIONS
stocksystm
March 22, 2009 at 7:46 pm
I appreciate the comment. However, I won’t be posting new predictions from the Fox Business News pundits because they’ve generally been wrong the majority of the time. Most of them didn’t see the trouble headed our way, therefore, they are probably not worth listening to.
I still have some catching up to do in posting the results from over a year ago.
Anonymous
March 23, 2009 at 3:07 am
scott bleier was the lone bear on bulls & bears for the second half of 2007 and through 2008 but I have not seen him on the network in a while.
stocksystm
March 23, 2009 at 3:56 am
It seems that one of the requirements to be on Fox Business News block is to be consistently wrong. You don’t see Bleier or Jim Rogers anymore.