Mark Hulbert Analyzes Current Sentiment
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Mark Hulbert finds that investor sentiment, as reported in the popular surveys (Investors Intelligence and AAII), indicates investors are at their most cautious since last fall.
Hulbert comments on his own analysis of investment newsletter asset allocation which shows a different picture of investor bullishness.
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T.T.S. Fear Index
Date | Index | SMA Comment |
1/11/2018 | 1.8 | Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations |
1/13/16 | 6.3 | Terrible start to 2016 raised fears |
10/3/11 | 8.5 | A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense |
3/9/09 | 7.0 | Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh |
10/27/08 | 8.8 | Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers |
10/12/07 | 3.2 | Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble starting to be pricked |
Year-to-Date Performance as of March 31, 2018
Index/Portfolio | YTD % |
SMA Portfolio | -4.0% |
S&P 500 | -0.7% |
U. S. Small Caps | -0.2% |
Total U. S. Stock Market | -0.6% |
Total Int'l Stock Market | -0.1% |
Total U. S. Bond Market | -1.5% |