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iShares Silver Mining ETF Allocation Increased
The price of silver has been declining due to rising...
- Posted March 30, 2021
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ViacomCBS Re-initiated
About five weeks ago the entire position of ViacomCBS (VIAC)...
- Posted March 26, 2021
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Rich Bernstein Negative on Tech as Rates Rise
Rich Bernstein, CEO and CIO of Richard Bernstein Advisors, warned...
- Posted March 18, 2021
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Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF Allocation Reduced
The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF...
- Posted March 5, 2021
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Gold and Silver Mining ETFs Allocation Increased
Gold and silver mining stocks, along with precious metals prices,...
- Posted March 3, 2021
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ViacomCBS Sold
On February 17, 2021, the entire position of ViacomCBS (VIAC)...
- Posted February 19, 2021
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iShares Global REIT ETF Sold
Investor euphoria/greed has been elevated with the extension of the...
- Posted January 20, 2021
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Indexes, Currencies, Commodities & Rates
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iShares Silver Mining ETF Allocation Increased
The price of silver has been declining due to...
- March 30, 2021
- 0
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Rich Bernstein Negative on Tech as Rates Rise
Rich Bernstein, CEO and CIO of Richard Bernstein Advisors,...
- March 18, 2021
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Is the Retirement Crisis Really a Crisis?
PBS Frontline recently presented a documentary called “The Retirement...
- April 25, 2013
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Alarming Chart of the Stock Markets of 1987 and 2012-2013
Several days ago I posted a chart showing the...
- May 22, 2013
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Bill Ackman Thinks Diversification is for the Lazy
Bill Ackman made a speech at the Active/Passive Investor...
- March 4, 2010
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T.T.S. Fear Index
Based on a scale of 1 (major complacency) to 10 (extreme fear):
Current and Selected Past Readings:
Date | Index | SMA Comment |
1/20/2021 | 2.3 | Massive stimulus and Fed support have nearly eliminated fear |
3/23/2020 | 7.0 | Coronavirus and oil price war panic investors to the highest level of fear since October 2011 |
12/26/2019 | 2.3 | Lowest level of fear in nearly two years (January 2018) |
12/21/2018 | 6.7 | Raised fears likely setting up a buying opportunity |
1/11/2018 | 1.8 | Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations |
1/13/16 | 6.3 | Terrible start to 2016 raised fears |
10/3/11 | 8.5 | A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense |
3/9/09 | 7.0 | Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh |
10/27/08 | 8.8 | Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers |
10/12/07 | 3.2 | Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble pricked |
Year-to-Date Performance as of February 24, 2021
Stock Market Advantage (SMA) Porfolio Versus Major Indices
Index/Portfolio | YTD % |
SMA Portfolio | 18.7% |
S&P 500 | 4.8% |
U. S. Small Caps | 12.2% |
Total U. S. Stock Market | 6.0% |
Total Int'l Stock Market | 6.0% |
Total U. S. Bond Market | -2.4% |
Mario Gabelli on Following Leaders Bill Ackman and John Malone
For those who don’t have the time or inclination for engaging in the analysis of individual securities, investors have the option to follow or anticipate leading investor’s moves. Mario Gabelli, chairman and chief executive officer of Gamco Investors, was on Bloomberg T.V.’s “Market Makers” providing his thoughts on the dynamics of this investment process.
Gabelli initially discussed the idea of investing in J. C. Penney Company (JCP) based on renowned hedge fund manager Bill Ackman’s move into the stock. Gabelli said he was actually buying some JCP since the market had probably over-discounted some of the negative news emanating from the company.
Gabelli said they keep a list of names which they follow. However, he added they don’t buy everything these investors are buying.
Interviewer Erik Schatzker asked Gabelli how he decides which leading investors to follow. Gabelli said he looks at industry fundamentals, and quipped that it didn’t matter how good you knew the steel industry, over 30 years you didn’t make any money. He also mentioned the media area; an industry his firm specializes in.
Schatzker questioned Gabelli about his interest in Dubai Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoumh. From there Gabelli transitioned into a discussion of John Malone “a three dimensional chess player,” Carl Icahn, and how he tries to figure out where they’re putting their money.
The interview (available below) continued with Gabelli discussing his interest in fracking and reducing our need for outside energy and his investments in National Fuel Gas (NFG) and Robbins & Myers (RBN).
Earlier this year Gabelli said he was focusing on dividend paying stocks which has worked out so far [link].
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