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John Bogle on CNBC

By Barron Maestro on July 15, 2008

John Bogle was on CNBC this morning. Some of his thoughts:

The private sector is “deeply troubled.”
Experiencing his 10th bear market, Bogle believes this one is, in a lot of ways, more worrisome than the others.
Reported earnings on the S&P 500 were $56 after writeoffs giving it a PE of 23. The $56 could easily go down from here.
The Fed has to think about raising rates and the inflation rate is misleading (it understates the problem).
It will take a long time to get through the crisis because, in the long run, the economy is more powerful than the government.

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Based on a scale of 1 (major complacency) to 10 (extreme fear): Current and Selected Past Readings:

Date	Index	SMA Comment
1/20/2021	2.3	Massive stimulus and Fed support have nearly eliminated fear
3/23/2020	7.0	Coronavirus and oil price war panic investors to the highest level of fear since October 2011
12/26/2019	2.3	Lowest level of fear in nearly two years (January 2018)
12/21/2018	6.7	Raised fears likely setting up a buying opportunity
1/11/2018	1.8	Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations
1/13/16	6.3	Terrible start to 2016 raised fears
10/3/11	8.5	A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense
3/9/09	7.0	Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh
10/27/08	8.8	Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers
10/12/07	3.2	Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble pricked

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