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  • Rich Bernstein Negative on Tech as Rates Rise
  • The Cure Might be Worse Than the Disease
  • Ameritrade and Onerous Reorganization Fees
  • Markets Unraveling
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  • Steve Leuthold Increases Allocation to Equities

    Bloomberg Businessweek recently reported that Steve Leuthold has increased his equity allocation substantially since...

    • Posted October 14, 2010
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  • Debate: Is the U. S. Wealthy or Poor?

    David Walker, former U.S. Comptroller General president & CEO, and Robert Kessler, The Kessler...

    • Posted October 3, 2010
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Latest News

  • Position in Teekay Tankers Increased

    Daily rates have dropped faster than expected in the oil...

    • June 25, 2020
    • 0
  • Diamond S Shipping Increased

    Today I increased the allocation to Diamond S Shipping (DSSI)...

    • April 28, 2020
    • 0
  • Mark Mobius is Cautious on Recovery

    Mark Mobius, globe trotting emerging markets guru for Mobius Capital...

    • April 17, 2020
    • 0
  • Ameritrade Clipped Me for $38 Again

    A big source of aggravation for me is Ameritrade's policy...

    • March 30, 2020
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  • Going Off the Rails

    Today I made wholesale changes to the SMA Portfolio; now...

    • March 23, 2020
    • 1

Don't Miss Out On These Free Updates!


Indexes, Currencies, Commodities & Rates

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  • TC says:

    I had the same experience twice this year wit...

  • Jay says:

    Same just happened to me. 7/23/2020. So the...

  • Montresor says:

    https://seekingalpha.com/article/4335176-buoy...

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    Good interview with Chris Macintosh. Starting...

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T.T.S. Fear Index

Based on a scale of 1 (major complacency) to 10 (extreme fear): Current and Selected Past Readings:
Date Index  SMA Comment
1/20/2021 2.3 Massive stimulus and Fed support have nearly eliminated fear
3/23/2020 7.0 Coronavirus and oil price war panic investors to the highest level of fear since October 2011
12/26/2019 2.3 Lowest level of fear in nearly two years (January 2018)
12/21/2018 6.7 Raised fears likely setting up a buying opportunity
1/11/2018 1.8 Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations
1/13/16 6.3 Terrible start to 2016 raised fears
10/3/11 8.5 A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense
3/9/09 7.0 Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh
10/27/08  8.8 Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers
10/12/07  3.2 Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble pricked

Year-to-Date Performance as of February 24, 2021

Stock Market Advantage (SMA) Porfolio Versus Major Indices
Index/Portfolio YTD %
SMA Portfolio 18.7%
S&P 500 4.8%
U. S. Small Caps 12.2%
Total U. S. Stock Market  6.0%
Total Int'l Stock Market 6.0%
Total U. S. Bond Market -2.4%

Recent Comments

  • TC on Ameritrade and Onerous Reorganization Fees
  • Jay on Ameritrade and Onerous Reorganization Fees
  • Montresor on International Seaways Added
  • Barron Maestro on Going Off the Rails
  • Montresor on International Seaways Added

Disclaimer: It is very difficult to outperform a buy and hold strategy. Many investors have found themselves best served over long time horizons by investing regularly in a diversified portfolio of stocks or low cost, broadly diversified indexed stock funds. Information presented is based on analysis of past data and assessments by the Tactical Timing System model. Future performance may not reflect past performance. Profitable trades are not guaranteed. No system or methodology ensures stock market profits. Although accuracy is strived for, no guarantee is made regarding the accuracy of data presented. Nothing presented here should be considered investment advice, but merely the humble opinion of the author.

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