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  • Jeff Saut Says Market is Bottoming
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  • Better Times Ahead

    Originally published on: November 17, 1996 Wow! What a market! It just keeps moving...

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Latest News

  • Position in SPDR Small Cap Value ETF Increased

    The position in the SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value...

    • February 7, 2019
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  • Changes to the SMA Portfolio

    Several changes to the Stock Market Advantage (SMA) portfolio have...

    • November 28, 2018
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  • Prospect Capital Removed From the SMA Portfolio

    I decided to sell Prospect Capital (PSEC) since it has...

    • November 17, 2017
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  • Global X MLP ETF Allocation Increased in the SMA Portfolio

    Due to price weakness and improved valuation, allocation to the...

    • November 14, 2017
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  • Imperial Brands Added to the SMA Portfolio

    Imperial Brands PLC (IMBBY) was added to the SMA Portfolio...

    • October 13, 2017
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T.T.S. Fear Index

Based on a scale of 1 (major complacency) to 10 (extreme fear): Current and Selected Past Readings:
Date Index  SMA Comment
12/21/2018 6.7 Raised fears likely setting up a buying opportunity
1/11/2018 1.8 Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations
1/13/16 6.3 Terrible start to 2016 raised fears
10/3/11 8.5 A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense
3/9/09 7.0 Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh
10/27/08  8.8 Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers
10/12/07  3.2 Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble pricked

Year-to-Date Performance as of September 30, 2018

Stock Market Advantage (SMA) Porfolio Versus Major Indices
Index/Portfolio YTD %
SMA Portfolio 0.2%
S&P 500 10.5%
U. S. Small Caps 11.1%
Total U. S. Stock Market  10.6%
Total Int'l Stock Market -3.3%
Total U. S. Bond Market -1.7%

Recent Comments

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  • Karate Kid on Stovall, Lee and Belski Share Current Market Views
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Disclaimer: It is very difficult to outperform a buy and hold strategy. Many investors have found themselves best served over long time horizons by investing regularly in a diversified portfolio of stocks or low cost, broadly diversified indexed stock funds. Information presented is based on analysis of past data and assessments by the Tactical Timing System model. Future performance may not reflect past performance. Profitable trades are not guaranteed. No system or methodology ensures stock market profits. Although accuracy is strived for, no guarantee is made regarding the accuracy of data presented. Nothing presented here should be considered investment advice, but merely the humble opinion of the author.

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