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  • The Cure Might be Worse Than the Disease
  • Ameritrade and Onerous Reorganization Fees
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  • S&P 500 - Bollinger Bands
    The Market is Breaking Out!

    After see-sawing for weeks stocks took off yesterday, breaking above resistance (Dow 13,000). This...

    • Posted March 14, 2012
    • 1
  • Stock Market Advantage Sell Signal
    Stock Market Advantage Sell Signal

    The Tactical Timing System has generated a sell signal. To comply with the system...

    • Posted February 21, 2012
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  • Jim Stack - Investech Research
    Jim Stack: Seven Presidential Election Years Since 1940 Have Seen Double-Digit Gains

    Jim Stack, president of InvesTech Research, was interviewed on the Nightly Business Report last...

    • Posted February 16, 2012
    • 0
  • Rydex Bull - Bear Ratio
    Findings on the Rydex Bull/Bear Ratio Sentiment Gauge

    In a recent post the idea of a real-time sentiment gauge using the net assets in the...

    • Posted May 31, 2011
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  • Using the Rydex Bull/Bear Ratio to Gauge Sentiment

    Investor sentiment has been seen by many market observers as a useful way to...

    • Posted May 23, 2011
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  • Mark Hulbert Analyzes Current Sentiment

    Mark Hulbert finds that investor sentiment, as reported in the popular surveys (Investors Intelligence...

    • Posted May 21, 2011
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  • The Case for Selling in May

    There is an old adage that investors might as well sell in May because historically the stock...

    • Posted May 2, 2011
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  • Bullish Sentiment Seems High, But is it Really?

    Prieur du Plessis has written a short article posted at Barry Ritholz’s The Big...

    • Posted January 15, 2011
    • 0
  • Dan Sullivan Now Appears to be Bullish

    After spending the last several months doubting the bull market move, it now appears that...

    • Posted December 25, 2010
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  • A Hulbert Tracked Sentiment Index at Dangerous Levels

    Mark Hulbert tracks newsletter performance and he also has created a few sentiment indexes. ...

    • Posted December 18, 2010
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Page 3 of 71234567

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    The Fed raised interest rates 1/4 point yesterday. This...

    • December 20, 2018
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  • Bullish Jeffrey Saut Sees Stock Market Transitioning

    This morning Raymond James strategist Jeffrey Saut told CNBC viewers...

    • August 11, 2016
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  • Investor Sentiment at 7 Year Low

    Global stock markets have been swooning for nearly nine months....

    • February 15, 2016
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  • Tobias Levkovich Discusses Benefits to the Economy of the Oil Crash

    Tobias Levkovich, Chief U.S. equity strategist at Citigroup, was on...

    • January 26, 2016
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  • Abundant Signs of a Stock Market Near its Peak

    The stock market looks ripe for a fall. Lets...

    • June 11, 2014
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Indexes, Currencies, Commodities & Rates

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  • Scorpio Tankers YTD Chart
    Scorpio Tankers Increased

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    • May 28, 2020
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  • Cold and Lonely
    Scorpio Bulkers Added and International Seaways Increased

    As part of my new focus on profiting from...

    • April 30, 2020
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  • Speculation
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    Alarming Chart of the Stock Markets of 1987 and 2012-2013

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  • Bill Ackman Thinks Diversification is for the Lazy

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  • Montresor says:

    https://seekingalpha.com/article/4335176-buoy...

  • Barron Maestro says:

    Good interview with Chris Macintosh. Starting...

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    Bullish Harris Kupperman interview located he...

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    Thank you for the terrific article...

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    Thanks for all of your labor on this blog. My...

T.T.S. Fear Index

Based on a scale of 1 (major complacency) to 10 (extreme fear): Current and Selected Past Readings:
Date Index  SMA Comment
3/23/2020 7.0 Coronavirus and oil price war panic investors to the highest level of fear since March 2009
12/26/2019 2.3 Lowest level of fear in nearly two years (January 2018)
12/21/2018 6.7 Raised fears likely setting up a buying opportunity
1/11/2018 1.8 Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations
1/13/16 6.3 Terrible start to 2016 raised fears
10/3/11 8.5 A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense
3/9/09 7.0 Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh
10/27/08  8.8 Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers
10/12/07  3.2 Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble pricked

Year-to-Date Performance as of Dec. 31, 2019

Stock Market Advantage (SMA) Porfolio Versus Major Indices
Index/Portfolio YTD %
SMA Portfolio 9.6%
S&P 500 31.5%
U. S. Small Caps 25.7%
Total U. S. Stock Market  30.8%
Total Int'l Stock Market 21.9%
Total U. S. Bond Market 8.9%

Recent Comments

  • Montresor on International Seaways Added
  • Barron Maestro on Going Off the Rails
  • Montresor on International Seaways Added
  • www.Yaleclubbeijing.Org on Stovall, Lee and Belski Share Current Market Views
  • fuhuo on Doug Kass, "There are significant positive developments amid the tumult that are currently being ignored"

Disclaimer: It is very difficult to outperform a buy and hold strategy. Many investors have found themselves best served over long time horizons by investing regularly in a diversified portfolio of stocks or low cost, broadly diversified indexed stock funds. Information presented is based on analysis of past data and assessments by the Tactical Timing System model. Future performance may not reflect past performance. Profitable trades are not guaranteed. No system or methodology ensures stock market profits. Although accuracy is strived for, no guarantee is made regarding the accuracy of data presented. Nothing presented here should be considered investment advice, but merely the humble opinion of the author.

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