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  • The Cure Might be Worse Than the Disease
  • Ameritrade and Onerous Reorganization Fees
  • Markets Unraveling
  • The End of the SMA Portfolio
  • Value Investor Bill Nygren’s Ideas
  • Robert Prechter - Conquer the Crash
    Robert Prechter on the Current Investing Climate

    Neil Cavuto recently interviewed Robert Prechter, founder of the Elliot Wave Theorist newsletter and...

    • Posted March 25, 2012
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  • S&P 500 - Bollinger Bands
    The Market is Breaking Out!

    After see-sawing for weeks stocks took off yesterday, breaking above resistance (Dow 13,000). This...

    • Posted March 14, 2012
    • 1
  • Stock Market Advantage Sell Signal
    Stock Market Advantage Sell Signal

    The Tactical Timing System has generated a sell signal. To comply with the system...

    • Posted February 21, 2012
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  • Jim Stack - Investech Research
    Jim Stack: Seven Presidential Election Years Since 1940 Have Seen Double-Digit Gains

    Jim Stack, president of InvesTech Research, was interviewed on the Nightly Business Report last...

    • Posted February 16, 2012
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  • Rydex Bull - Bear Ratio
    Findings on the Rydex Bull/Bear Ratio Sentiment Gauge

    In a recent post the idea of a real-time sentiment gauge using the net assets in the...

    • Posted May 31, 2011
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  • Using the Rydex Bull/Bear Ratio to Gauge Sentiment

    Investor sentiment has been seen by many market observers as a useful way to...

    • Posted May 23, 2011
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  • Mark Hulbert Analyzes Current Sentiment

    Mark Hulbert finds that investor sentiment, as reported in the popular surveys (Investors Intelligence...

    • Posted May 21, 2011
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  • The Case for Selling in May

    There is an old adage that investors might as well sell in May because historically the stock...

    • Posted May 2, 2011
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  • Bullish Sentiment Seems High, But is it Really?

    Prieur du Plessis has written a short article posted at Barry Ritholz’s The Big...

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    After spending the last several months doubting the bull market move, it now appears that...

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Page 3 of 71234567

Latest News

  • iShares Global REIT ETF Sold

    Investor euphoria/greed has been elevated with the extension of the...

    • January 20, 2021
    • 0
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index Shows Negative Sentiment

    The Fed raised interest rates 1/4 point yesterday. This...

    • December 20, 2018
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  • Bullish Jeffrey Saut Sees Stock Market Transitioning

    This morning Raymond James strategist Jeffrey Saut told CNBC viewers...

    • August 11, 2016
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  • Investor Sentiment at 7 Year Low

    Global stock markets have been swooning for nearly nine months....

    • February 15, 2016
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  • Tobias Levkovich Discusses Benefits to the Economy of the Oil Crash

    Tobias Levkovich, Chief U.S. equity strategist at Citigroup, was on...

    • January 26, 2016
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Indexes, Currencies, Commodities & Rates

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  • REET
    iShares Global REIT ETF Sold

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  • Silver Mining ETF
    iShares Silver Mining ETF Increased

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    • January 12, 2021
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    iShares Silver Miners ETF Added

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  • Speculation
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  • Interfacesao says:

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    books in ancient times was papyrus...

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    I had the same experience twice this year wit...

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T.T.S. Fear Index

Based on a scale of 1 (major complacency) to 10 (extreme fear): Current and Selected Past Readings:
Date Index  SMA Comment
1/20/2021 2.3 Massive stimulus and Fed support have nearly eliminated fear
3/23/2020 7.0 Coronavirus and oil price war panic investors to the highest level of fear since October 2011
12/26/2019 2.3 Lowest level of fear in nearly two years (January 2018)
12/21/2018 6.7 Raised fears likely setting up a buying opportunity
1/11/2018 1.8 Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations
1/13/16 6.3 Terrible start to 2016 raised fears
10/3/11 8.5 A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense
3/9/09 7.0 Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh
10/27/08  8.8 Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers
10/12/07  3.2 Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble pricked

Year-to-Date Performance as of January 15, 2021

Stock Market Advantage (SMA) Porfolio Versus Major Indices
Index/Portfolio YTD %
SMA Portfolio 8.5%
S&P 500 1.1%
U. S. Small Caps 6.9%
Total U. S. Stock Market  2.1%
Total Int'l Stock Market 4.4%
Total U. S. Bond Market -1.1%

Recent Comments

  • Interfacesao on Jeff Gundlach: “The Situation has Changed”
  • Sanderhrs on Jeff Gundlach: “The Situation has Changed”
  • TC on Ameritrade and Onerous Reorganization Fees
  • Jay on Ameritrade and Onerous Reorganization Fees
  • Montresor on International Seaways Added

Disclaimer: It is very difficult to outperform a buy and hold strategy. Many investors have found themselves best served over long time horizons by investing regularly in a diversified portfolio of stocks or low cost, broadly diversified indexed stock funds. Information presented is based on analysis of past data and assessments by the Tactical Timing System model. Future performance may not reflect past performance. Profitable trades are not guaranteed. No system or methodology ensures stock market profits. Although accuracy is strived for, no guarantee is made regarding the accuracy of data presented. Nothing presented here should be considered investment advice, but merely the humble opinion of the author.

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