Sentiment

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Thumbnail image for Bullish Sentiment Could Portend Stock Market Peak
By March 25, 2013

The blog “The Short Side of Long” recently presented a series of charts from the Merrill Lynch Fund Managers Survey. The charts exhibit building euphoria which could indicate trouble ahead for the stock market. One of the charts shows the cash levels held in funds and indicates there isn’t much ...

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Thumbnail image for Mark Hulbert on the Implications of Stock Market Making New Highs
By March 1, 2013

Mark Hulbert, editor of the Hulbert Financial Digest, was interviewed by CNBC’s Carl Quintanilla regarding the implications if the Dow breaches its record high of 14,164. Citing 70 years of data from Ned Davis Research, Hulbert said their analysis of 13 instances where the stock market reached a new high ...

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What CNNMoney Fear & Greed Index is Saying About the Stock Market Now
By January 14, 2013

It can be helpful for investors to maintain a pulse on investor sentiment so as not to succumb to one of the enemy of returns; emotion. CNNMoney has developed a Fear & Greed Index based on seven indicators. Like the Tactical Timing System Fear Index featured here, CNNMoney’s index can ...

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Thumbnail image for Mark Hulbert’s Sentiment Readings Aren’t Encouraging for the Bulls
By August 22, 2012

Mark Hulbert has been following the investment newsletter industry for decades. At Marketwatch he writes that the recent stock market downturn was not successful in discouraging the bulls. Consider the average recommended stock market exposure among a subset of short-term stock market timers (as measured by the Hulbert Stock Newsletter ...

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Thumbnail image for Harry Dent in Bull Versus Bear Debate With Seth Masters
By July 24, 2012

Ultra-bearish author and newsletter writer Harry Dent was on CNBC’s Closing Bell yesterday debating the future of the market with Seth Masters of Bernstein Global Wealth Management. Masters sees the Dow hitting 20,000 in several years, which seems to be a reasonable assumption. However, Dent expects the Dow to land around ...

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Thumbnail image for Newsletter Writer Bullishness Worrisome: Mark Hulbert
By July 5, 2012

Having followed the investment newsletter complex for decades, Mark Hulbert has substantial data at his disposal to determine the sentiment of this faction of the investment community. Hulbert reported this week that his Hulbert Stock Newsletter Sentiment Index (HSNSI) average recommended equity allocation of a subset of the shortest term ...

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By March 28, 2012

According to Nikolaj Gammeltoft and Whitney Kisling at Bloomberg, hedge funds are increasingly bullish on the outlook for stocks and have raised their allocation to equities at the fastest rate since April 2010.

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Thumbnail image for Robert Prechter on the Current Investing Climate
By March 25, 2012

Neil Cavuto recently interviewed Robert Prechter, founder of the Elliot Wave Theorist newsletter and author of Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression, regarding his readings on the current investing climate. Cavuto brought up the fact the markets and economy have come back while corporate ...

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The Market is Breaking Out!
By March 14, 2012

After see-sawing for weeks stocks took off yesterday, breaking above resistance (Dow 13,000). This looks like a market that is poised to go higher. How much higher is anyone’s guess. The old high’s on the S&P 500 are only about 12% away, so this seems to be within reach before ...

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Stock Market Advantage Sell Signal
By February 21, 2012

The Tactical Timing System has generated a sell signal. To comply with the system the following positions were sold today. The proceeds were allocated equally between the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCSH) and the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT).

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