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  • The Cure Might be Worse Than the Disease
  • Ameritrade and Onerous Reorganization Fees
  • Markets Unraveling
  • The End of the SMA Portfolio
  • Value Investor Bill Nygren’s Ideas
  • Kyle Cooper - IAF Advisors
    Kyle Cooper Sees Energy Consolidation Ahead

    During an interview on CNBC, Kyle Cooper of IAF Advisors & Criterion Research, speculated...

    • Posted August 20, 2015
    • 0
  • Adam Parker - Morgan Stanley
    Adam Parker Makes Case For Owning Energy

    On Bloomberg's Surveillance program, Morgan Stanley chief equity strategist Adam Parker laid out the...

    • Posted August 19, 2015
    • 0
  • Adams Natural Resources - PEO
    Closed-end Fund Adams Natural Resources to be Added to the SMA Portfolio

    There are occasions when a Closed-End Fund (CEF) is preferable to holding a comparable...

    • Posted July 1, 2015
    • 1
  • Jeffrey Saut - Raymond James
    Jeffrey Saut Says Oil May Have Bottomed

    Jeffrey Saut, chief investment strategist of Raymond James Financial, was interviewed on CNBC yesterday....

    • Posted February 3, 2015
    • 0
  • Gartman Letter
    Dennis Gartman Claims the Era of Oil is Over

    Frequent CNBC guest and editor of the Gartman Letter, Dennis Gartman, was on the...

    • Posted October 28, 2014
    • 0
  • Interactive Brokers PortfolioAnalyst
    SUBCY and PGN to be Added to the SMA Portfolio

    As mentioned in a previous post, I've been monitoring the depressed offshore drilling sector...

    • Posted September 11, 2014
    • 1
  • Leuthold and Dale Interview
    Steve Leuthold and Darius Dale: Profiting from Inflation

    Hedgeye senior macro analyst Darius Dale and Leuthold Strategic CEO Steve Leuthold discussed how...

    • Posted June 21, 2014
    • 7
  • Marc Faber - Gloom Boom Doom Report
    Marc Faber Says There is a Gigantic Worldwide Asset Bubble

    Marc Faber was interviewed on CNBC yesterday. Faber disagreed with commentary that there...

    • Posted October 22, 2013
    • 1
  • James Grant - Grant's Interest Rate Observer
    James Grant Says Russian Oil Stocks Provide a Margin of Safety

    CNBC’s Maria Bartiromo interviewed James Grant, founder of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer and author...

    • Posted September 14, 2013
    • 2
  • Jeremy Grantham - GMO
    Jeremy Grantham Interview with Charlie Rose

    Charlie Rose interviewed GMO’s Jeremy Grantham at length recently. It is a fascinating conversation...

    • Posted May 9, 2013
    • 1
Page 4 of 812345678

Latest News

  • Marathon Oil Increased

    Today cash in the SMA Portfolio was used to increase...

    • March 6, 2020
    • 0
  • BlackRock Resources & Commodities Fund Increased

    Yesterday the remaining cash in the SMA Portfolio was used...

    • February 27, 2020
    • 0
  • Resource Equities Allocations Increased in the SMA Portfolio

    The broad sell-off today in worldwide equity markets due to...

    • February 25, 2020
    • 0
  • Vanguard Energy ETF Added to the SMA Portfolio

    Fear and volatility were high today with renewed Coronavirus concerns...

    • February 24, 2020
    • 0
  • BP PLC Added to the SMA Portfolio

    BP PLC (BP) was added to the SMA Portfolio today...

    • February 20, 2020
    • 0

Don't Miss Out On These Free Updates!


Indexes, Currencies, Commodities & Rates

  • Latest

  • Popular

  • Comments

  • Scorpio Tankers YTD Chart
    Scorpio Tankers Increased

    I made a decision to increase the allocation to...

    • June 1, 2020
    • 0
  • SandRidge Energy
    SandRidge Energy Sold

    I decided to sell the position in SandRidge Energy...

    • May 28, 2020
    • 0
  • Cold and Lonely
    Scorpio Bulkers Added and International Seaways Increased

    As part of my new focus on profiting from...

    • April 30, 2020
    • 0
  • Speculation
    Is the Retirement Crisis Really a Crisis?

    PBS Frontline recently presented a documentary called “The Retirement...

    • April 25, 2013
    • 12
  • S&P 500 2013 1987 Blowoff Buying Climax
    Alarming Chart of the Stock Markets of 1987 and 2012-2013

    Several days ago I posted a chart showing the...

    • May 22, 2013
    • 8
  • Bill Ackman Thinks Diversification is for the Lazy

    Bill Ackman made a speech at the Active/Passive Investor...

    • March 4, 2010
    • 7
  • Montresor says:

    https://seekingalpha.com/article/4335176-buoy...

  • Barron Maestro says:

    Good interview with Chris Macintosh. Starting...

  • Montresor says:

    Bullish Harris Kupperman interview located he...

  • www.Yaleclubbeijing.Org says:

    Thank you for the terrific article...

  • fuhuo says:

    Thanks for all of your labor on this blog. My...

T.T.S. Fear Index

Based on a scale of 1 (major complacency) to 10 (extreme fear): Current and Selected Past Readings:
Date Index  SMA Comment
3/23/2020 7.0 Coronavirus and oil price war panic investors to the highest level of fear since March 2009
12/26/2019 2.3 Lowest level of fear in nearly two years (January 2018)
12/21/2018 6.7 Raised fears likely setting up a buying opportunity
1/11/2018 1.8 Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations
1/13/16 6.3 Terrible start to 2016 raised fears
10/3/11 8.5 A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense
3/9/09 7.0 Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh
10/27/08  8.8 Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers
10/12/07  3.2 Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble pricked

Year-to-Date Performance as of Dec. 31, 2019

Stock Market Advantage (SMA) Porfolio Versus Major Indices
Index/Portfolio YTD %
SMA Portfolio 9.6%
S&P 500 31.5%
U. S. Small Caps 25.7%
Total U. S. Stock Market  30.8%
Total Int'l Stock Market 21.9%
Total U. S. Bond Market 8.9%

Recent Comments

  • Montresor on International Seaways Added
  • Barron Maestro on Going Off the Rails
  • Montresor on International Seaways Added
  • www.Yaleclubbeijing.Org on Stovall, Lee and Belski Share Current Market Views
  • fuhuo on Doug Kass, "There are significant positive developments amid the tumult that are currently being ignored"

Disclaimer: It is very difficult to outperform a buy and hold strategy. Many investors have found themselves best served over long time horizons by investing regularly in a diversified portfolio of stocks or low cost, broadly diversified indexed stock funds. Information presented is based on analysis of past data and assessments by the Tactical Timing System model. Future performance may not reflect past performance. Profitable trades are not guaranteed. No system or methodology ensures stock market profits. Although accuracy is strived for, no guarantee is made regarding the accuracy of data presented. Nothing presented here should be considered investment advice, but merely the humble opinion of the author.

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