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  • Jeff Saut Says Market is Bottoming
  • Charles Nenner Sees Bear Market in Oil For 2019
  • Jeff Gundlach: “The Situation has Changed”
  • Mary Ann Bartels Explains The Thesis of the Secular Bull
  • Jeffrey Gundlach: Commodities Are Cheap
  • Peter Schiff - Europacific Capital
    Peter Schiff Suggests Ways to Preserve Wealth

    Jeff Macke interviewed Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital to get his views on...

    • Posted January 31, 2012
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  • Jim Rogers - Commodities Investor
    Jim Rogers Sees a Possible Depression in 2013

    Maria Bartiromo interviewed Jim Rogers on the floor of the NYSE yesterday.  Bartiromo said...

    • Posted December 7, 2011
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  • Jim Grant - Grant's Interest Rate Observer
    James Rickards and James Grant Interviewed

    James Rickards, senior managing director of Tangent Capital Partners, was interviewed by Bloomberg’s Deirdre...

    • Posted November 14, 2011
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  • Jim Rogers - Renowned International Investor
    Jim Rogers on Euro Crisis: Staggering Numbers Involved

    Jim Rogers was interviewed by Reuters’ on Friday regarding the Euro crisis; specifically the...

    • Posted November 7, 2011
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  • Stock Trading Skills Are Applicable in Forex Trading

    Guest contribution provided by Forex Traders: For stock traders looking to expand their horizons,...

    • Posted October 30, 2011
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  • Niall Ferguson - Harvard University
    Niall Ferguson Discusses the Possibility of European Bank Failures

    Niall Ferguson, a history professor at Harvard University, was interviewed by Margaret Brennan regarding...

    • Posted October 26, 2011
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  • Marc Faber - Gloom, Doom and Boom Report
    Marc Faber Says Global Liquidity Tightening; Bullish for U. S. Dollar

    Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Doom and Boom Report, was interviewed by Joe...

    • Posted October 12, 2011
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  • Jim Rogers Investments Commodities
    Jim Rogers: Greek Debt Crisis Will Result in Opportunity

    In CNBC’s Strategy Session Bob Pisani and David Faber interviewed Jim Rogers and discussed...

    • Posted September 10, 2011
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  • Mark Mobius: U.S. Failure to Raise Debt Ceiling Positive for Asian Stocks

    Emerging markets guru Mark Mobius said if U.S. policymakers “don’t extend the debt ceiling...

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    An Exposé on Ray Dalio and Bridgewater Associates

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Latest News

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    Charles Nenner, founder and president of Charles Nenner Research Center,...

    • December 9, 2018
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  • Dennis Gartman Says Stocks Going Higher

    Dennis Gartman, editor of The Gartman Letter, was on CNBC...

    • August 29, 2016
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  • Mark Mobius: China to Benefit from Brexit

    On CNBC this week, emerging markets expert Mark Mobius, said...

    • July 2, 2016
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  • Marc Faber Expects a Bear Market to Unfold

    During an interview with Fox Business News Network's Maria Bartiromo,...

    • August 20, 2015
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  • Commodities Approach Previous Area of Bottoming

    The blog The Short Side of Long has posted a...

    • March 19, 2015
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Indexes, Currencies, Commodities & Rates

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  • Interactive Brokers PortfolioAnalyst
    Delphi Technologies Removed from the SMA Portfolio

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  • Jeff Saut - Raymond James
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  • Gary Shilling’s Favorite Investment: 30 Year Treasuries

    Larry Kudlow interviewed Gary Shilling last week.  Shilling continues...

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  • www.Yaleclubbeijing.Org says:

    Thank you for the terrific article...

  • fuhuo says:

    Thanks for all of your labor on this blog. My...

  • Eletricista 24hs em Alto de Pinheiros says:

    My relatives always say that I am killing my ...

  • Karate Kid says:

    Lee now sees FANG stocks outperforming by 31%...

  • Barron Maestro says:

    Post-election, Acampora now sees Dow 20,000 a...

T.T.S. Fear Index

Based on a scale of 1 (major complacency) to 10 (extreme fear): Current and Selected Past Readings:
Date Index  SMA Comment
11/8/2019 2.7 Lowest level of fear since February suggesting caution is warranted
12/21/2018 6.7 Raised fears likely setting up a buying opportunity
1/11/2018 1.8 Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations
1/13/16 6.3 Terrible start to 2016 raised fears
10/3/11 8.5 A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense
3/9/09 7.0 Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh
10/27/08  8.8 Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers
10/12/07  3.2 Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble pricked

Year-to-Date Performance as of Sept. 30, 2019

Stock Market Advantage (SMA) Porfolio Versus Major Indices
Index/Portfolio YTD %
SMA Portfolio 3.6%
S&P 500 20.6%
U. S. Small Caps 17.8%
Total U. S. Stock Market  20.0%
Total Int'l Stock Market 11.8%
Total U. S. Bond Market 8.6%

Recent Comments

  • www.Yaleclubbeijing.Org on Stovall, Lee and Belski Share Current Market Views
  • fuhuo on Doug Kass, "There are significant positive developments amid the tumult that are currently being ignored"
  • Eletricista 24hs em Alto de Pinheiros on To Make a Small Fortune in Hedge Funds, Better Start With a Big One
  • Karate Kid on Stovall, Lee and Belski Share Current Market Views
  • Barron Maestro on Ralph Acampora is Bullish

Disclaimer: It is very difficult to outperform a buy and hold strategy. Many investors have found themselves best served over long time horizons by investing regularly in a diversified portfolio of stocks or low cost, broadly diversified indexed stock funds. Information presented is based on analysis of past data and assessments by the Tactical Timing System model. Future performance may not reflect past performance. Profitable trades are not guaranteed. No system or methodology ensures stock market profits. Although accuracy is strived for, no guarantee is made regarding the accuracy of data presented. Nothing presented here should be considered investment advice, but merely the humble opinion of the author.

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