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  • Rich Bernstein Negative on Tech as Rates Rise
  • The Cure Might be Worse Than the Disease
  • Ameritrade and Onerous Reorganization Fees
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  • Emerging Market Bonds Offer Diversification Benefits

    William Samuel Rocco at Morningstar has written an article highlighting the virtues of holding...

    • Posted April 11, 2009
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  • The Attraction of Railroads and Timber as Investments

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    • Posted February 14, 2009
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  • Jim Rogers Expects a 10 Year Malaise

    In an interview linked below, Jim Rogers says the government’s desperate attempts to prop...

    • Posted October 5, 2008
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  • Publicly Traded Hedge Funds – Appearance of a Scam

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    • April 22, 2016
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  • Dennis Gartman Says the Bottom is in for Oil

    Speaking over the phone on CNBC Friday, regular guest Dennis...

    • August 24, 2015
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  • Marc Faber Expects a Bear Market to Unfold

    During an interview with Fox Business News Network's Maria Bartiromo,...

    • August 20, 2015
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  • Steve Leuthold and Darius Dale: Profiting from Inflation

    Hedgeye senior macro analyst Darius Dale and Leuthold Strategic CEO...

    • June 21, 2014
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T.T.S. Fear Index

Based on a scale of 1 (major complacency) to 10 (extreme fear): Current and Selected Past Readings:
Date Index  SMA Comment
1/20/2021 2.3 Massive stimulus and Fed support have nearly eliminated fear
3/23/2020 7.0 Coronavirus and oil price war panic investors to the highest level of fear since October 2011
12/26/2019 2.3 Lowest level of fear in nearly two years (January 2018)
12/21/2018 6.7 Raised fears likely setting up a buying opportunity
1/11/2018 1.8 Unusually low fear could mean we're near the top in valuations
1/13/16 6.3 Terrible start to 2016 raised fears
10/3/11 8.5 A good tradable bottom (S&P 500 @ 1,085) based on lots of nonsense
3/9/09 7.0 Market bottom (S&P 500 @ 666); end of the world was nigh
10/27/08  8.8 Market had dropped 28% in 5 weeks, Paulson pulled out all stops to save Wall Street bankers
10/12/07  3.2 Market top (S&P 500 @ 1,562); worldwide housing bubble pricked

Year-to-Date Performance as of February 24, 2021

Stock Market Advantage (SMA) Porfolio Versus Major Indices
Index/Portfolio YTD %
SMA Portfolio 18.7%
S&P 500 4.8%
U. S. Small Caps 12.2%
Total U. S. Stock Market  6.0%
Total Int'l Stock Market 6.0%
Total U. S. Bond Market -2.4%

Recent Comments

  • TC on Ameritrade and Onerous Reorganization Fees
  • Jay on Ameritrade and Onerous Reorganization Fees
  • Montresor on International Seaways Added
  • Barron Maestro on Going Off the Rails
  • Montresor on International Seaways Added

Disclaimer: It is very difficult to outperform a buy and hold strategy. Many investors have found themselves best served over long time horizons by investing regularly in a diversified portfolio of stocks or low cost, broadly diversified indexed stock funds. Information presented is based on analysis of past data and assessments by the Tactical Timing System model. Future performance may not reflect past performance. Profitable trades are not guaranteed. No system or methodology ensures stock market profits. Although accuracy is strived for, no guarantee is made regarding the accuracy of data presented. Nothing presented here should be considered investment advice, but merely the humble opinion of the author.

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