Buy Signal

By on September 16, 2008

The Tactical Timing System generated a buy signal at the close today.

To comply with the system the following positions will be purchased tomorrow at market or purchase will be attempted with limit orders:

Aggressive Portfolio:

Security (Symbol, Order Type, Price) Approximate Allocation

Vanguard Value ETF (VTV, Market, 51.71) 6.0%

Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF (VEU, Market, 42.31) 5.0%

Vanguard Emerging Markets ETF (VWO, Market, 33.25) 4.0%

Conservative Portfolio:

Security (Symbol, Order Type, Price) Approximate Allocation

Cohen & Steers REIT & Utility Income Fund (RTU, Limit, 14.15) 6.1%

Harvest Energy Trust (HTE, Limit, 17.36) 3.3%

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Target Allocations:

Aggressive Portfolio:

120% equities; -20% cash

Conservative Portfolio:

75% equities; 25% fixed income

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Commentary: The outlook for the economy appears bleak which has been reflected in the prices of equities worldwide. There will be no decoupling as the entire world slows down and perhaps enters a serious recession. Fear has replaced greed as financial concerns face the most grave crisis of our generation. It seems very improbable that the calamity caused by falling housing prices will not result in economic weakness in all areas of the economy. Many investors are frozen by indecision as stock prices crater, but it appears this a juncture where increased allocation towards equities will result in rewards down the road. However, this outcome is far from assured.

Disclaimer: It is challenging to outperform a buy and hold strategy. Many investors have found themselves well-served over long time horizons by investing regularly in a diversified portfolio of stocks or low cost, broadly diversified indexed stock funds. Information presented is based on analysis of past data and assessments by the Tactical Timing System model. Future performance may not reflect past performance. Profitable trades are not guaranteed. No system or methodology ensures stock market profits. Although accuracy is strived for, no guarantee is made regarding the accuracy of data presented.

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